Subject:

Nate Silver

  • Blogs

    October 17, 2011

    Occupy Seattle Now Fifth Largest Occupy Movement in the Country

    ​Nate Silver, The New York Times' resident human calculator, has crunched the numbers and Occupy Seattle is perhaps not as small potatoes are previously advertised.

  • Blogs

    November 5, 2010

    NYT: Rasmussen Polls Are Officially Biased Toward Republicans

    ​Remember the bevy of polls that came out in the weeks before Tuesday's election? Murray up by three points in one; Rossi up by a single point in another; Murray up by 15 points in yet another. By election day, the general consensus was that all polls suck and people should just wait for the v ... More >>

  • Blogs

    October 29, 2010

    New York Times Picks Washington as Key to GOP Senate Takeover

    ​Nate Silver, the human political calculator for the New York Times and the blog FiveThirtyEight, is up with a post touting the Evergreen State as the "most important state of all" in terms of GOP chances for a Senate takeover. The numbers wonk ran thousands of simulations, in which a virtual ... More >>

  • Blogs

    October 13, 2010

    Why Washington's Senate Race Is Confounding Pollsters

    ​To modify an expression used to describe the weather in Ireland, if you don't like the results of the latest Washington Senate poll, wait five minutes and it'll change. One day incumbent Patty Murray is up by double-digits. The next, her challenger Dino Rossi is the one with the insurmountabl ... More >>

  • Blogs

    September 9, 2010

    Dino Rossi Is Your New Favorite in the Senate Race

    ​If you're a political watcher and computer simulations mean anything to you -- which the latter should if you're the former -- then today's news should be of interest: according to Nate Silver at The New York Times blog 538, in a matter of two months Dino Rossi's chances of defeating Patty Mu ... More >>

  • Blogs

    August 23, 2010

    Dino Rossi Tied With Patty Murray According to Weird Poll Numbers

    ​In last Tuesday's primary, Senator Patty Murray crushed her Republican opponent Dino Rossi in King County, getting nearly 60 percent of the vote to his 27 percent. A not-so-surprising result in a reliably liberal area. But now: weirdness. As a recent poll shows that Murray has no advantage ov ... More >>

  • Blogs

    May 6, 2010

    Even Nate Silver Can't Figure Out the Washington Senate Race

    Officially stumped.​Statistician rock star Nate Silver famously called the 2008 presidential election down to the last electoral vote. So it says something when a guy with such impeccable political prognostication skills can't make heads or tails out of the conflicting polls coming out of Wash ... More >>

  • News

    February 3, 2010

    Statistical Heat

    Despite positive steps since last season, the computers say the M’s have their work cut out for them.

  • Diversions

    December 30, 2009

    Oh, Right, THAT New Year

    Despite positive steps since last season, the computers say the M’s have their work cut out for them.

  • Blogs

    December 2, 2009

    Nate Silver Says Maurice Clemmons May Hurt Mike Huckabee's Political Future

    Political pollster Nate Silver says Mike Huckabee may be better served waiting out this next election.​Statistician Nate Silver's thing is making the ambiguous tangible. So instead of just asking "if" the commutation of suspected cop-killer Maurice Clemmons' sentence will hurt former Arkansas ... More >>

  • Blogs

    November 4, 2009

    Today's Election Update: Expect Mike McGinn and R-71 to Keep Their Lead

    FlickrJust let go, Susan. The voters have spoken.​Our extended-release election results continue today, as 4:30 PM brings another round of ballot counting. For the two remaining contests yet undecided (sorry Susan Hutchison, even the Sonics have a better chance of coming back), that means a cl ... More >>

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