Yesterday on The Daily Weekly I attempted to break down the implications of a Ron Sims-less 2013 mayoral race. Largely, the consensus among political types is - with or without Sims - the race remains wide open. However that wasn't the information one Daily Weekly reader was hoping to find ... not even close.
As the post noted:
The question now becomes: What does this mean for McGinn and the rest of the crowded field of hopefuls?
When local political movers and shakers are posed with that question, the results are mixed. While all seem to agree the race heading into August's primary is wide open (and would have been wide open even with Sims in the fray), who exactly a Sims-less race benefits most is up to interpretation.
The Survey USA poll indicated - albeit it strangely and inconclusively - that McGinn picks up about three percentage points with Sims out of the mix, bumping the incumbent up to 18 or 19 percent support. With a crowded field with or without Sims, and experts speculating it will take anywhere between 20 and 25 percent of the vote to advance in the primary, everyone seems to agree there is a path for McGinn to move on. It will come down campaigning - and who does it best. Luckily for the mayor, this is one of his strong suits.
"This is still a wide open race," says McGinn campaign consultant John Wyble. "We are excited to talk about the Mayor's accomplishments. [Sims' decision] did not change it in any real way."
Putting the potential of a Sims candidacy in perspective, longtime political consultant Cathy Allen - who's now working for the Steinbrueck campaign - puts it another way. Allen says many viewed Sims as the race's "800-pound gorilla," but as she notes, "An 800-pound gorilla cut seven ways is still pretty light."
To which commenter wreckitwalsh replies:
I clicked this article thinking it was about simcity. Fail.