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The notion of a 10-year plan to end homelessness was first embraced in 2000 by the National Alliance to End Homelessness. It has been implemented in major metropolitan areas nationwide, and some have seen results. San Francisco saw a 28 percent reduction in homelessness between 2002 and 2004, as well as 40 percent fewer homeless people dying. The plan can work if the money is there. Says Norm Suchar, a policy analyst with the national alliance: "If you don't have people developing new housing, it won't work."
An estimated 9,500 units of housing are needed to end homelessness in King County. The estimated cost of the plan over the course of the 10 years is somewhere between $680 million and $1 billion.
There is concern that redirecting money from street services to provide more actual housing will cause big problems. "Taking funds away from emergency services has to be replaced with more funds," says Seattle City Council member Nick Licata. "If not, there will be more people on the street. I am a little bit suspicious that in 10 years the plan will move funds away from emergency needs that must be addressed." Licata thinks there is more to ending homelessness than just providing housing. "Without proper mental-health care and drug treatment, folks will be back on the street again," Licata says. "A lot of people on the street came from stable families, and they're homeless because of mental-health and drug issues." The 10-year plan could divert money from programs that are keeping such people drug-free or mentally stable, causing them to become homeless rather than preventing that, he says.
Meanwhile, the federal budget promises to impose other challenges. Last month, a National League of Cities conference in Washington, D.C., attracted Licata and fellow Seattle City Council members Richard McIver, David Della, and Jean Godden. They were among 2,500 representatives from cities around the nation whose collective voice was loud and clear: no cuts to federal funds that have become a backbone of city social programs nationwide. The president and members of Congress are pressing ahead with cuts to such major programs as community development block grants and Section 8 housing vouchers for the poor. "I think certain programs can be saved," says McIver. "The question is for how long. I think this administration is persistent in funding tax cuts and wars instead of supporting the community."
The community development block grant is the largest federal allocation for developing affordable housing and revitalizing neighborhoods nationwide. In Seattle this fiscal year, the block grant was $14 million, $700,000 less than what the city had expected. Fortunately, unused money from 2004 was available to cover the gap, but there is no way Seattle will be able to afford to cover the coming federal cuts. Block grants are used for everything from maintaining parks and public spaces to creating neighborhood farmers markets. In some cases, they are the only fiscal resource for homeless care. Seattle uses block-grant money to help 2,500 homeless people move into permanent housing every year. Says Natter: "If the current federal budget goes through, it will have a shattering impact on all social services—health care, mental health, and affordable housing." Homelessness is often the indicator of many other systems having failed. "We saw a dramatic increase in homelessness when mental-health institutions and facilities were closed down," says the Rev. Robert Taylor of St. Mark's Episcopal Cathedral, the chair of the homelessness committee.